Thursday | August 24, 2006

Iran vs the World (I mean vs. Israel and the USA)

Just in case your head has been buried in the sand the recently, things are about to come to a head with Iran.  I know you libs are worried that Bush “might go off the deep end” and attack them, so I wanted to put my 2 bits in on the topic.

 

Iran has already responded to UN (remember, U is for Useless) demands that it stop uranium enrichment, and Iran has basically asid no to that, but they do want to talk some more.  More talk (i.e. delay tactics) will simply lead to more apparent tough talk from the French before they cave as always in the end (see their recent flip flop on sending troops to Lebanon).  The Russians and Chinese of course like the idea of more delay time for their pitbull (Iran) so they are supporting it (anything to mess with the good old USA).  So, the USA will stand firm and plead for tough sanctions after Iran refuses to stop enrichment even after further talks, the Europeans will wuss out, and the Russians and Chinese will laugh.  Then what?

 

Israel will go it alone.  That is my prediction.  Olmert is incredibly weakened after this total leadership disaster against the Hezbo’s.  If he and his party want to stay in power, they will need a strong move, and they are under tremendous political pressure right now.  Not to mention, per my previous post, the whole cease fire thing is about to unravel.  The Israeli’s already believe they killed some Iranian troops (i.e. meaning they were attacked by them) while battling the Hezbo's, and therefore have the right to declare war on Iran.  Well, they might not declare war, but unannounced missile and plane bombardment is on the menu. 


When you ask?  I say before the end of this year.  What happens after that?   That is where it gets interesting……..

 

Syria will then want to get involved, at Iran’s request of course, since they are Iran’s little pitbull.   They will send ground forces into Lebanon to support the Hezbo’s, which will already be active again.  I don’t think Egypt enters, but it’s possible.  The Egyptian people will want to, but not the government.  Iran will retaliate with missiles against Israel, causing some real damage.  Then Bush will FINALLY decide that since the war is already on, and Iran has (in my mind at least) already attacked the US by sending terrorists into Iraq to attack our troops, we will begin using assets in Iraq to support the Israeli efforts.  We were “drug into it” so to speak. 

 

The UN will call lots of meetings to show blatant anti-Semitism towards Israel, and the liberal press will play every clip, ignoring any anguish or tragedy in Israel (unless you are watching Fox News of course).  Russia and China will laugh some more.  Iran will be in bad shape, Israel will have taken some damage, and the rest of the world will hate the USA and the Israeli’s just a little more (if that is possible).  But in the end, while the Iranian nuclear program will have not been destroyed, it will be setback considerably.


So, you don’t like my prediction?  To violent?  To unbelievable?  To imaginative (like that is possible)?  Too much good vs. evil, which makes me simpleton (besides, the US is the evil one, right)?  I am not saying I will be right (no really, I might be wrong), I am just placing my bets.  It is entirely possible that Bush and the Republicans will be so worried about the Novemeber elections (i.e. public opinion) that they will do nothing but saber rattle and pressure Olmert to do the same.  Whatever (or better said, whenever it) happens, I don’t understand how anyone cannot understand or ignore the threat of a nuclear Iran.  The difference between Iran and the rest of the countries in the world that have nukes (including North Korea) is that the man at the helm is crazy enough to use them no matter what the consequences.  Anyone who cannot grasp these consequences is a danger to themselves and the rest of us.  Anyone who thinks any amount of diplomacy will solve the problem probably thinks Napoleon Dynamite should have won an Oscar for best picture, or Algore should run for President again, or …………..  you get the picture.

 

You think all this is bad, stay tuned next time when I tackle the prospect of waking up one fine January morning and hearing this nightmare on the news.  “Today, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said that………..”. 

  
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